Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis: Can BTC/USD Hold $7K?


Key Points

  • Bitcoin price remained in a bearish zone above the $7,000 support against the US Dollar.
  • There is a key declining channel forming with resistance at $7,600 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair has to stay above the $7,200 and $7,000 support levels to avoid a major downside break.

Bitcoin price is trading well below the $7,600 pivot level against the US Dollar. If BTC/USD breaks the $7,000-7,200 support, there could be heavy declines.

Bitcoin Price Decline

This past week, there were heavy losses from the $8,500 swing high in bitcoin price against the US Dollar. The price declined sharply and broke two important support levels at $8,150 and $7,900. The decline was such that the price even broke the $7,600 pivot level. It traded close to the $7,000 level and found support near $7,200. A low was formed at $7,220 before the price started consolidating in a range.

It traded a few points above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the last decline from the $8,606 high to $7,220 low. However, buyers failed to gain momentum above the $7,600 pivot level. Therefore, the price is in a downtrend below $7,600. More importantly, there is a key declining channel forming with resistance at $7,600 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair. A break above the channel resistance and $7,650 is needed for an upside push. Above $7,650, the next hurdle for buyers sits around the $7,950 and $8,000 levels.

Looking at the chart, the price is struggling to recover above $7,600. On the downside, there is a crucial support at $7,200. A break below the stated support at $7,200 could open the doors for more declines below the $7,000 level.

Looking at the technical indicators:

4-hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is struggling to gain pace in the bullish zone.

4-hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is currently just above the 30 level.

Major Support Level – $7,200

Major Resistance Level – $7,600



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